Wednesday, December 29, 2010

The heads-I-win-tails-you-lose theory of climate change is not winning in the public marketplace for ideas. It keeps bringing me back to my first impression. Call it global warming or climate change, it's based on computer models, and the test of a model is how well its predictions fit reality. But a model that you have to wait 50 to 100 years to verify doesn't seem very useful to me.

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